- September 24: Stochastic models: some examples
- September 26: A model for coin tossing
- October 1: Markov chains. Read 6.1.
- October 3: Generating functions. Read 5.1.
- October 8: Classification of states. Read 6.2 and 6.3.
- October 10: Long term behavior. Read 6.4
- October 15: Guest lecture, Vladimir Minin (Markov chains in genetics)
- October 17: Guest lecture, Tilmann Gneiting (Wind power prediction)
- October 22: Review
- October 24: Midterm
- October 29: Reversibility, Markov chain Monte Carlo. Read 6.5.
- October 31: More Markov chain Monte Carlo. Read 6.14.
- November 5: Birth processes. Read 6.8
- November 7: Group problems.
- November 12: Continuous time Markov chains. Read 6.9.
- November 14: Stationarity and persistence.
- November 19: Spatial Poisson processes. Read 6.13
- November 21: Markov random fields.
- November 26: Brownian motion. Read 13.1-2.
- December 3: Some applications.
- December 5: Review