Working Group |
Adrian E. Raftery
Adrian is the Boeing International Professor of
and Adjunct Professor of Atmospheric
Sciences at the University of Washington.
He is also a faculty affiliate of the
Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences and the
Center for Studies in Demography
He works on the development of new statistical methods for
the social, environmental and health sciences.
An elected member of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences,
he was identified as the world's most cited researcher in mathematics
for the decade 1995-2005 by Thomson-ISI. He has supervised
32 Ph.D. graduates,
of whom 21 hold or have held tenure-track university faculty positions.
Model-Based Clustering book now available for free download
Our book, Model-Based Clustering and Classification for Data Science, with Applications in R
(Cambridge University Press), is now available for
You can also get the book on Amazon.
- National Academies Covid Report: Adrian was the lead author of
the National Academies report, Evaluating Data Types
A Guide for Decision Makers using Data to Understand the Extent and Spread of COVID-19 (2020).
- Climate change paper media coverage:
The paper ``Country-based emissions reductions should increase by 80% beyond
nationally determined contributions to meet the 2 C target,''
by Peiran Liu and Adrian, was published in
Communications Earth and Environment.
It received some news coverage, including:
- Fertility, education and family planning article media coverage:
``How Do Education and Family Planning Accelerate Fertility Decline?,''
by Daphne Liu and Adrian, was published in the
Population and Development Review.
It received some coverage, including:
- h-index reaches 100: Adrian's citation h-index surpassed 100, according to
Google Scholar. His work has been cited over 90,000 times, according to the
- Website update: This website got its annual major update on April 13, 2021. New
preprints were added.
Recent Journal Articles and Preprints (since 2020)
(Full citations here.)
Statistical climate science
These papers are being made available here to facilitate the timely
dissemination of scholarly work; copyright and all related rights are
retained by the copyright holders.
Updated December 3, 2021; last major update, April 13, 2021.
Copyright 2005-2021 by Adrian E. Raftery and University of Washington;
all rights reserved.