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Adrian Raftery: Preprints

Metodiev, M., Irons, N.J., Perrot-Dockès, M., Latouche, P., and Raftery, A.E. (2025). Easily Computed Marginal Likelihoods for Multivariate Mixture Models Using the THAMES Estimator. arXiv:2504.21812.

Irons, N.J, and Raftery, A.E. (2024). US COVID-19 school closure was not cost-effective, but other measures were. arXiv:2411.12016

Ševčíková , H., Raymer, J. and Raftery, A.E. (2024). Forecasting Net Migration By Age: The Flow-Difference Approach. arXiv: 2411.09878

Metodiev, M., Perrot-Dockès, M., Ouadah, S., Fosdick, B.K., Robin, S., Latouche, P. and Raftery, A.E. (2024). A Structured Estimator for large Covariance Matrices in the Presence of Pairwise and Spatial Covariates. arXiv:2411.04520

Sussman, H. and Raftery, A.E. (May 2024). Bayesian Projection of Refugee and Asylum Seeker Populations. arXiv:2405.06857

Welch, N.G., Ševčíková , H. and Raftery, A.E. (2024). Bringing Age Back In: Accounting for Population Age Distribution in Forecasting Migration. arXiv:2403.05566

Liu, D.H. and Raftery, A.E. (2024). Multiple Imputation of Hierarchical Nonlinear Time Series Data with an Application to School Enrollment Data. arXiv:2401.01872

Russell, N., Murphy, T.B. and Raftery, A.E. (2015). Bayesian model averaging in model-based clustering and density estimation. Technical Report no. 635, Department of Statistics, University of Washington. Also arXiv:1506.09035.

Fraley, C., Raftery, A.E., Murphy, T.B. and Scrucca, L. (2012). mclust Version 4 for R: Normal Mixture Modeling for Model-Based Clustering, Classification, and Density Estimation. Technical Report no. 597, Department of Statistics, University of Washington.

Fraley, C., Raftery, A.E., Sloughter, J.M. and Gneiting, T. (2007). EnsembleBMA: An R Package for Probabilistic Forecasting using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging. Technical Report no. 516, Department of Statistics, University of Washington.

Last updated August 13, 2025.