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Adrian E. Raftery

Adrian is the Boeing International Professor of Statistics and Sociology, and Adjunct Professor of Atmospheric Sciences at the University of Washington. He is also a faculty affiliate of the Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences and the Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology. He works on the development of new statistical methods for the social, environmental and health sciences. An elected member of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, he was identified as the world's most cited researcher in mathematics for the decade 1995-2005 by Thomson-ISI. He has supervised 32 Ph.D. graduates, of whom 21 hold or have held tenure-track university faculty positions.

Model-Based Clustering book now available for free download

Our book, Model-Based Clustering and Classification for Data Science, with Applications in R (Cambridge University Press), is now available for free download. You can also get the book on Amazon.


Recent Journal Articles and Preprints (since 2020)

(Full citations here.)

Statistical demography

Statistical climate science


These papers are being made available here to facilitate the timely dissemination of scholarly work; copyright and all related rights are retained by the copyright holders.

Updated January 13, 2022; last major update, April 13, 2021.

Copyright 2005-2022 by Adrian E. Raftery and University of Washington; all rights reserved.