Introduction and d-separation
Thomas Richardson
UW Department of Statistics
Causal and Bayesian Networks
The Expert
Rule-Based Expert Systems
Rule-Based Expert Systems
Normative Expert Systems
Computational Difficulties
Bayesian Networks
Operational Expert Systems
Common Sense Reasoning About Uncertainty
Icy Roads
Causal Relationships
Watson has crashed!
But the Roads are Salted!
Wet Grass
The State of the ‘Turf’
Holmes’ Grass is Wet
Watson’s Grass is also Wet
The Burglar Alarm
Burglary and Earthquake
Burglary and Earthquake
Burglary and Earthquake
Relation between dependence and evidence
Graph Theoretic Concepts:
Parent, Child, Ancestor and Descendant
Definition: d-connecting path
PP Presentation
Holmes and Watson
The State of the ‘Turf’
Burglary and Earthquake
Common Misconception about d-connection
Properties of d-connection
Local Markov Property
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