NCAR Verification Workshop: Making Verification More Meaningful
30 July - 1 August, 2002
Boulder, Colorado

• Assessing predictive distributions: A diagnostic approach
  by Tilmann Gneiting and Adrian E. Raftery
• An automated mesoscale forecast verification system
  by Scott Sandgathe
• Issues in mesoscale verification: Implications of the verification of high-resolution MM5 forecasts over the Pacific Northwest
  by Clifford F. Mass and Eric P. Grimit

Stages of Concern for Laboratory, Field, and Social Issues in Applying Cognitive Psychology.
Presented at the 6th International Conference of Naturalistic Decision Making, Pensacola Beach, FL.
Hunt, E. & Joslyn, S (May 2003)

Cognitive analysis of naval weather forecasting.
Presented to Naval Meteorology & Oceanography Command at Applied Physics Laboratory, University of Washington .
Hunt, E., Joslyn, S., Schweitzer, K., Pyles, J., Jones, D. (May 2003)

Workshop on Ensemble Weather Forecasting in the Short to Medium Range
18 - 20 September, 2003
Val-Morin, Québec

• Towards an Effective Short-Range Ensemble Forecast System
  by Tony Eckel and Cliff Mass
• Verifying Probabilistic Forecasts Calibration and Sharpness
  by Tilmann Gneiting, Adrian E. Raftery, Fadoua Balabdaoui, and Anton Westveld
• University of Washington Mesoscale Short-Range Ensemble System
  by Eric P. Grimit, Anthony Eckel, and Clifford F. Mass
• Toward Short-Range Ensemble Prediction of Mesoscale Forecast Skill
  by Eric P. Grimit and Clifford F. Mass
• Calibrated Probabilistic Mesoscale Forecasting with Model Ensembles Using Bayesian Model Averaging
  by Adrian E. Raftery, Fadoua Balabdaoui, and Tilmann Gneiting

Assessing probabilistic forecasts.
Presented at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, 27 May 2004
by Tilmann Gneiting
Joint work with Adrian Raftery, Fadoua Balabdaoui, Kristin Larson and Kenneth Westrick

The MURI Uncertainty Monitor.
Presented at The 84th American Meteorological Society Meeting, Seattle Washington, Jan, 2004
by Jones, D., Joslyn, S.

The Impact of Probabilistic Information on Deterministic & Threshold Forecasts Presentation.
Presented at the 7th International Conference of Naturalistic Decision Making, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Joslyn, S., Hunt, E & Schweitzer, K (June 2005)

Designing Tools for Uncertainty Estimation in Naval Weather Forecasting.
Presented at the 7th International Conference of Naturalistic Decision Making, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Joslyn, S., Jones, D., Schweitzer, K, Pyles, J. & Tewson, P. (June 2005)

Naturalistic decision making: A cognitive task analysis of naval weather forecasting.
Presented at The Society for Applied Research in Memory and Cognition
Fifth Biennial Conference, Aberdeen University, Scotland.
Joslyn, S., Schweitzer, K. Hunt, E. (July 2003)

Understanding and Using Uncertainty Information in Weather Forecasting.
Presented to the National Academy of Sciences committee on Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty in Weather and Related Forecasts, Boulder, CO.
Joslyn, S. (2005)

Use of Uncertainty Information in Deterministic Weather Forecasting Decisions.
Presented at the Joint Statistical Meetings in Seattle, Washington.
Joslyn, S. (2006)

Wording Effects on the Understanding and Use of Uncertainty Information.
Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Psychonomics Society, Houston, TX.
Joslyn, S. L., Nadav-Greenberg, L. & Taing, M. (November, 2006)

Understanding and Using Weather Forecast Uncertainty Information.
Presentation at the workshop: Meteorology meets Decision Science: Risk, Forecast and Decision, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom.
Joslyn, S. L. (June, 2007)

The Effect of Uncertainty Visualizations on Decision Making in Weather Forecasting.
Presented at the 8th International Conference of Naturalistic Decision Making, Pacific Grove, CA.
Nadav-Greenberg, L. , Joslyn, S. L., & Taing, M. (June, 2007)

Wording Uncertainty Information in Probabilistic Weather Forecasts.
Presented at Northwest Cognition and Memory, Vancouver, British Columbia.
Nichols, R. M., Joslyn, S. L., Nadav-Greenberg, L. (May, 2007)

Anchoring Effects in Weather Forecasts.
Presented at Northwest Cognition and Memory, Seattle, WA.
Chen, Q., Joslyn, S., Nadav-Greenberg, L., Savelli, S. (June, 2008)

Presenting Only the Worst-Case Scenario in Probabilistic Weather Forecasts: Anchoring Effects.
Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Psychonomics Society, Chicago, IL.
Savelli, S., Joslyn, S., Nadav-Greenberg, L. & Chen, Q., (November, 2008)

Visualizing temperature forecast uncertainty for a non-expert web audience.
Presented at the Naturalistic Decision-Making 9th Biannual Conference in London, UK.
Savelli, S. & Joslyn, S., (June, 2009)